Moneyline vs Spread vs Total: What Each Pick Means

Every sportsbook offers three core picks on every game: moneyline, spread, and total. They look similar but answer completely different questions about a matchup. Here's the cleanest possible breakdown.

Moneyline — who wins, period

The simplest pick. You pick a side, they win, you cash. The price tells you the implied probability: -200 means the book thinks that team wins ~67% of the time; +150 implies ~40%. Moneylines on heavy favorites pay terribly; underdog moneylines are where casual fans find the most value.

Spread — who wins by how much

The book handicaps the favorite by a number of points. If the Lakers are -6.5 vs the Pistons, they must win by 7+ for spread bettors to cash. The spread evens out lopsided matchups so both sides pay roughly the same (-110). Used everywhere because it's the closest thing to a 50/50 line a book can offer.

Total (over/under) — combined score

Doesn't care who wins. You're picking whether the two teams combined score more or fewer points than a number. NBA totals usually sit around 220 points; soccer totals around 2.5 goals. Totals are great when you have a read on pace, weather (soccer), or injuries to defenders.

Which one to track on a leaderboard

Moneylines are the cleanest to grade — there's no half-point math, no pushes (in the NBA), no debate. That's why FanRivo defaults to moneyline picks on the leaderboard. If you're tracking your skill over time, moneylines give you the truest signal.

Frequently asked

Which is easiest to win?

Spread picks hit closest to 50% because that's how the book builds them. Moneyline favorites hit more often but pay less. Totals split roughly 50/50 with a slight edge to the under on lower-pace nights.

Can I parlay them?

Yes — most books let you combine moneyline + total or spread + total on the same game (same-game parlay). Payouts are bigger; hit rates are smaller. FanRivo only grades single picks for the leaderboard.

What's a 'push'?

A tie against the spread or total (e.g. spread of -6 and the favorite wins by exactly 6). Pushes return your stake — no win, no loss. Half-points (-6.5) exist to prevent pushes.

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